The real-life lesson of how a tourism organization can measure the ROI of their communications -- without using Advertising Value Equivalency (AVE).
by Katie Delahaye Paine
Normally we would have named New Hampshire Grand a Measurement Menace of the Month, but we decided that it would be a much more useful exercise to give them a Measurement Makeover. In the future we’ll be combining the menace with a makeover so watch these pages for more examples. I welcome your submissions.
This month's Measurement Makeover features New Hampshire Grand. New Hampshire Grand is an organization that promotes tourism in the North Country of the state of New Hampshire. And, since I was intimately involved with its creation, I was appalled when I read this statement in New Hampshire Grand’s recent progress report:
“In 2010, we... published over 369 stories with an earned media value of $512,000. Earned media is the value of our exposure if we had to pay for each column inch of the article.”
"Earned media value" is another name for Advertising Value Equivalence (also known as AVE), an inaccurate and discredited technique for evaluating media coverage. We immediately contacted Montagne Communications, the PR firm for New Hampshire Grand, for more details, but have not heard from them. Nevertheless, thanks to New Hampshire's tourism recordkeeping (see below) we can help New Hampshire Grand express the value of its efforts in a more accurate and accepted fashion. So let's give it a Measurement Makeover. Here goes...
Step #1: Resources Needed
1. Excel spreadsheet.
2. Data establishing relationship between impressions and actual tourist visits.
Step #2: Initial Data and Assumptions
It turns out all the data necessary is publicly available from the www.nhgrand.com and visitnh.gov websites. We have very useful historical data to work with, because the State of New Hampshire keeps good records on the value of its tourism efforts. They know that for every 100 positive tourism impressions they make (or buy) in the media, 3 people will visit the state as tourists. They also know that the average tourist spends about $82 dollars per visit in a combination of taxes and purchases.
Because New Hampshire Grand deals with the North Country specifically, and not the entire state, those averages need to be adjusted:
- The North Country is harder to get to than the rest of the state, and has fewer hotels and tourism resources. So let's assume that for every 100 favorable impressions only one person visits the state.
- Let's also recognize that prices in the North Country are typically half of what they are in the rest of the state. So let's assume that every one of those potential visitors spends $41, instead of the statewide average of $82.
We can use these numbers to express the value of New Hampshire Grand's efforts in tourist dollars.
We also know that the New Hampshire Grand effort has cost about $1 million so far. We can use that figure to calculate an approximate Return on Investment for the project so far.
Step #3: Collect Some Data
We reviewed the monthly newsletter reports of Montagne that were posted to the New Hampshire Grand website and counted the total number of positive impressions. Since all the stories posted were favorable, we took the reported impressions as our total number of favorable impressions. That number is 5,099,541 impressions. (Montagne also reported a total Unique Visitor count for their efforts of 342 million. This number seems vastly overstated and unreliable, as it exceeds the total population of the U.S. by about 10%. So we did not use it.)
Step #4: Calculate Potential Value of Media Coverage
Using our estimate that every 100 impressions results in one visitor, that gets us to a potential visitor count of 50,995.
And if each of those 50,995 spend $41, that makes a potential spend of about $2 million. Thus the value of New Hampshire Grand's communications can be estimated as $2 million in revenue from tourist visits.
Step #5: Estimate ROI
The formula for ROI is Revenue minus Investment divided by Investment. Revenue in this case is what the potential tourists spend, or $2 million. Investment is about $1 million (which is what the New Hampshire Grand effort has cost thus far). So the ROI estimate would be $2,000,000 - $1,000.000/$1,000,000 or 100%.
Step #6: The Big Reveal
$2 million in tourist spending and an ROI of 100% sound a whole lot better -- and are far more accurate -- than $512,000 in fake Advertising Value Equivalency (AVE) numbers. Congrats, New Hampshire Grand, on your Measurement Makeover.
(Tip of the Hat to Chris Jensen at New Hampshire Public Radio who’s report on the need for New Hampshire Grand to demonstrate its value alerted us to an organization in need of a measurement makeover.)
(Transparency Alert: NCIC, which provides funding to New Hampshire Grand, is a former client of KDPaine & Partners. We conducted research for NCIC and were part of the discussion prior to the creation of New Hampshire Grand. We love what NCIC and The Tillotson Foundation have done and are on record as supporting New Hampshire Grand.)
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Katie Delahaye Paine is CEO of KDPaine & Partners, a company that delivers custom research to measure brand image, public relationships, and engagement. Katie Paine is a dynamic and experienced speaker on public relations and social media measurement. Click here for the schedule of Katie’s upcoming speaking engagements. Katie and Beth Kanter are authors of the book “Measuring the Networked Nonprofit,” to be published this year by Wiley.
The Measurement Standard is a publication of KDPaine & Partners, a company that delivers custom research to measure brand image, public relationships, and engagement. Katie Paine, CEO of KDPaine & Partners, will be glad to talk with you about measurement for your organization.