For those who haven't read all of Jon Gertner's enormous NYTimes Magazine piece on the future of communications measurement called, "Watching What you Watch" here's a synopsis:
Measurement is about to get a lot more accurate. And despite On The Media's "End of the world as we know it" advanced blurbs for their show on the topic, I would argue that "It's not the end, its the beginning" to quote a line from Pat Donohue's song.
My takeaway from the piece is that Nielsen has finally woken up to the clamoring that I hear every day for more accurate measurement of exactly what people are watching and hearing. The premise of the piece is that Arbitron has invented something called the Portable People Meter (PPM) that Nielsen has bought into and that is currently being tested in Texas. Unlike traditional Nielsen methodology that measures the TV set, the PPM measures the people. Which of course is what organizations care about. It essentially tracks, records and sends back to Nielsen and Arbitron a record of everything the person wearing the PPM has heard during the day. It even knows if you hit the loo during the commercial since it knows when the sound stops. Now don't get paranoid, carrying the PPM is a voluntary act, so Arbitron hopes to recruit some 70,000 people to carry them around. The great thing about them is that it is obviously a far more accurate form of measurement, since it tracks not just what you watch sitting in your TV room, but what you listen to at work, in a hotel, on the street, etc. They're even experimenting with adding GPS so you could track billboard viewing. The interesting (I'm not reading to call it bad) news is of course the huge social implications that this technology has. Nielsen ratings have for years determined what we get to watch on television. The problem is that fewer and fewer people are watching television. More and more people are getting their news via the Internet, and their entertainment via their computer and/or their iPod. So as the numbers from the PPM roll in, chances are that advertisers will reallocate their dollars away from television and focus them on other forms of media. This could be great for word of mouth marketing, PR and the web, if, as we assume, the PPM data shows just how much more influential it is. However, any major shift in audience will also mean that advertisers will begin shoving products at us via whatever new medium ends up on top. It also, as On The Media correctly pointed out, will mean the end of many stations, outlets and other news and entertainment sources that are currently relying on Nielsen ratings for their revenue stream.
Net net, I welcome PPMs or the equally interesting scheme that ErinMeida is promoting of monitoring cable feeds for improving the accuracy of measurement over all. And if the road to better measurement is paved with the bodies of main stream media moguls, all the better.
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